Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 9723 LANDED 5:29 PM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

MX 9723 · VRB → TPA

took off 4:55 PM ET · landed 5:29 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at VRB that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ VRB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

VRB (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling2,743 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.29 in

TPA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 9723 · VRB → TPA

Odds over time