Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR NEW ZEALAND · FLIGHT NZ 2 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

NZ 2 · AKL → JFK

departs 7:56 AM NZDT · arrives 7:06 AM ET

Your aircraft is ZKNZH (B789).

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AKL

Weather at each end

AKL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

NZ 2 · AKL → JFK

Odds over time