tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR NEW ZEALAND · FLIGHT NZ 8 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

NZ 8 · AKL → SFO

departs 7:49 PM NZDT · arrives 12:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±2 pts +21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.1d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.