Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5346 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

OH 5346 · DFW → TYS

departs 6:38 PM CT · arrives 9:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into TYS at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5346 · DFW → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?