Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5380 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

OH 5380 · DFW → HSV

departs 9:13 PM CT · arrives 11:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 1.25 mi forecast at HSV that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5380 · DFW → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?