Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3508 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Tuesday, October 27

OO 3508 · TPA → AUS

took off 8:02 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 8:06 PM ET → 10:02 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3508 · TPA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?