OO 3698 · SLC → SBA

departs 10:53 AM MT · arrives 12:05 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SBA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBA

↓ This flight has been late 6% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts40 kt Ceiling9,857 ft Visibility8.28571 mi Precip0.01 in

SBA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3698 · SLC → SBA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBA?