Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3805 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Tuesday, October 27

OO 3805 · ATL → OAJ

took off 12:32 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 12:39 PM ET → 2:16 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at OAJ more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OAJ?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into OAJ at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAJ (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3805 · ATL → OAJ

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAJ?