Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4054
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
OO 4054 · SLC → TUS
departs 8:30 PM MT · arrives 9:29 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 8%
Thu 10/29 8%
Fri 10/30 8%
Sat 10/31 6%
Sun 11/1 9%
Mon 11/2 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Gusts to 40 kt forecast at SLC that day
↑
TUS is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 9,857 ft Visibility 8.28571 mi Precip 0.01 in
TUS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.