OO 4628 · ABQ → IAH

departs 5:12 AM MT · arrives 8:36 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ 5am departures from ABQ are usually not late

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4628 · ABQ → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?