Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4729
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
OO 4729 · SEA → LAX
departs 12:31 PM PT · arrives 3:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 13%
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.07 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.