Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4769
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
OO 4769 · FAR → ORD
departs 7:21 AM CT · arrives 9:19 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 9%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at FAR that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FAR (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.30 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.