OO 4779 · ORD → FAR

took off 10:19 AM CT · landed 11:42 AM CT (scheduled 8:43 AM CT → 10:41 AM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FAR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at FAR that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

FAR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4779 · ORD → FAR

Odds over time

How late did it get to FAR?