Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5004
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27
OO 5004 · SGF → DFW
departs 7:47 PM CT · arrives 9:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/27
Today 32%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 71%
Thu 11/5 26%
Fri 11/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.