Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5035
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27
OO 5035 · DEN → LAR
departs 8:52 PM MT · arrives 9:47 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/27
Sun 11/1 27%
Mon 11/2 39%
Wed 11/4 13%
Thu 11/5 26%
Fri 11/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAR more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LAR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAR?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
LAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 0.13 mi
Precip none
LAR (destination)
Gusts 35 kt
Ceiling 5,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.