Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5106
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27
OO 5106 · PIR → DEN
departs 6:26 AM CT · arrives 7:12 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Mon 10/26 52%
Tue 10/27
Wed 10/28 19%
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave PIR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.966667 mi forecast at PIR that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from PIR are usually not late
Weather at each end
PIR (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.966667 mi Precip 0.04 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.