Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5201
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27
OO 5201 · GPI → DEN
departs 11:44 AM -05 · arrives 12:48 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave GPI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GPI (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
DEN (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.13 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.