Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5266
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27
OO 5266 · ORD → CVG
departs 10:39 AM CT · arrives 12:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/27
Today 22%
Sat 10/31 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
10am departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
CVG (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.