Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5319
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
OO 5319 · FSD → DEN
departs 11:35 AM CT · arrives 12:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 13%
Thu 10/29 11%
Fri 10/30 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at FSD that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FSD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.12 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.