OO 5339 · SNA → SFO

took off 8:08 PM PT · landed 9:11 PM PT (scheduled 8:07 PM PT → 10:08 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SFO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5339 · SNA → SFO

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFO?