OO 5343 · DEN → GUC

took off 1:04 PM MT · landed 1:35 PM MT (scheduled 11:15 AM MT → 12:24 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at GUC more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GUC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at GUC that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into GUC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

GUC (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5343 · DEN → GUC

Odds over time

How late did it get to GUC?