Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5566
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Tomorrow
OO 5566 · SFO → FAT
departs 10:29 AM PT · arrives 11:47 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 24%
Thu 10/29 28%
Fri 10/30 34%
Sat 10/31 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
FAT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.