OO 5584 · ORD → MDT

departs 10:32 AM CT · arrives 1:27 PM ET

Your aircraft is N143SY (E75L), coming in as OO 4773 from CVG: landed 8:57 AM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDT?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

MDT (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5584 · ORD → MDT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDT?