Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5681
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27
OO 5681 · IAH → LIT
departs 2:31 PM CT · arrives 4:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/27
Today 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
2pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.