Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5702
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27
OO 5702 · ASE → IAH
departs 1:24 PM MT · arrives 5:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/27
Today 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.