Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5826 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 10:58 AM CT (22 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 27 Today

OO 5826 · ORD → MCI

departs 10:30 AM CT · arrives 12:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5826 · ORD → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?