Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5837
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27
OO 5837 · SHV → IAH
departs 3:35 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/27
Today 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SHV
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SHV (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.