Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5964
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
OO 5964 · COS → ORD
departs 8:15 AM MT · arrives 12:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 13%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 21%
Sat 10/31 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.165714 mi forecast at COS that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
8am departures from COS are usually not late
Weather at each end
COS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.06 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.