OO 6026 · DEN → XWA

took off 12:59 PM MT · landed 3:17 PM CT (scheduled 12:12 PM MT → 3:03 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at XWA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to XWA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at XWA that day

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ XWA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

XWA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6026 · DEN → XWA

Odds over time

How late did it get to XWA?