Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
OO 6098 · ORD → IAD
departs 11:23 AM CT · arrives 2:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
11am departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
IAD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.