OO 6274 · LAX → SFO

departs 7:16 AM PT · arrives 8:47 AM PT

Your aircraft is N513SY (E75L), coming in as OO 6230 from DSM: landed 9:05 PM PT.

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

97% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6274 · LAX → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?