OO 6430 · PHX → SFO

departs 7:28 AM MT · arrives 9:43 AM PT

Your aircraft is N515SY (E75L), coming in as OO 6324 from ABQ: in the air, landing about 6:17 AM MT, 64 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6430 · PHX → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?