Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2945
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
PD 2945 · YTZ → BOS
departs 1:24 PM EDT · arrives 3:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 9%
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 48%
Sat 10/31 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave YTZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
BOS is busy at that time
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BOS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at YTZ
Weather at each end
YTZ (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.