Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2948
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
PD 2948 · BOS → YTZ
departs 8:25 PM ET · arrives 10:14 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 9%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at YTZ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YTZ?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BOS that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
YTZ (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.