Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2949
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
PD 2949 · YTZ → BOS
departs 5:49 PM EDT · arrives 8:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 12%
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave YTZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BOS that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
YTZ (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.