Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PHILIPPINE AIRLINES · FLIGHT PR 125 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:20 AM PT, ETA 4:05 AM PST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

PR 125 · SEA → MNL

took off 12:20 AM PT · expected to land 4:05 AM PST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MNL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MNL

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.07 in

MNL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PR 125 · SEA → MNL

Odds over time