Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5800
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
PT 5800 · PHL → BUF
departs 11:15 AM ET · arrives 1:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 16%
Sat 10/31 16%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PHL is busy at that time
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.