Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5854
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
PT 5854 · ALB → PHL
departs 6:01 AM ET · arrives 7:25 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 9%
Thu 10/29 7%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.