Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6123
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
PT 6123 · BGR → PHL
departs 10:59 AM ET · arrives 1:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 11%
Thu 10/29 11%
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BGR
Weather at each end
BGR (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.