Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6129
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
PT 6129 · PHL → ORF
departs 8:59 AM ET · arrives 10:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 17%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ORF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORF (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.