tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 517 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

QK 517 · PHL → YYZ

departs 4:09 PM ET · arrives 6:15 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
8% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.7d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    92%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.