Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 621 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

QK 621 · YUL → CMH

departs 1:19 PM EDT · arrives 3:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YUL

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from YUL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YUL (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 621 · YUL → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?