QK 652 · YVR → PDX

took off 1:33 PM PDT · landed 2:17 PM PT (scheduled 1:25 PM PDT → 2:47 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PDX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at PDX that day

↑ 1pm departures from YVR are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 652 · YVR → PDX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PDX?