Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

QATAR AIRWAYS · FLIGHT QR 8166 LANDED 3:52 PM CT, ~56 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

QR 8166 · ORD → IAH

took off 1:32 PM CT · landed 3:52 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +36 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QR 8166 · ORD → IAH

Odds over time