Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2010
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
QX 2010 · SEA → YVR
departs 10:56 PM PT · arrives 12:01 AM PDT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/27
Today 13%
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 19%
Sat 10/31 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at YVR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YVR?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YVR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
YVR (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.