Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
QX 2013 · YVR → SEA
departs 12:10 PM PDT · arrives 1:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 18%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SEA that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YVR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
YVR (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.14 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.