QX 2245 · SEA → ALW

took off 10:53 PM PT · landed 11:30 PM PT (scheduled 10:46 PM PT → 11:58 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ALW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to ALW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ALW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

ALW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2245 · SEA → ALW

Odds over time

How late did it get to ALW?