QX 2260 · SAN → TUL

took off 9:38 AM PT · landed 2:15 PM CT (scheduled 9:16 AM PT → 2:27 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TUL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from SAN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ TUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2260 · SAN → TUL

Odds over time

How late did it get to TUL?