Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 9985 LANDED 9:26 AM PT, ~34 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

QX 9985 · SEA → PAE

took off 8:51 AM PT · landed 9:26 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PAE more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PAE that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ PAE usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into PAE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.05 in

PAE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 9985 · SEA → PAE

Odds over time