RV 1742 · YVR → LAX

departs 11:16 AM PDT · arrives 2:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.14 in

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1742 · YVR → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?